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Image Credit Mykahilo Minakov The recent Russian military buildup on the western borders of Russia and in the annexed Crimea, as well as a media campaign to mobilize support in Russian populations for a possible military action in Ukraine, were indeed menacing. The Ukrainian government responded with its own defense, diplomatic Spefch, and mass media preparations for a possible attack.

Woodrow Wilson Declaration Of War Speech Analysis

In the months since the end of Januarythe hope for a more diplomatic solution—which was palpable in the fall of last year—has evaporated and the general sentiment has shifted toward an anticipation of war. The escalation in Ukraine-Russia tensions has at least two dimensions.

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First, it is connected with the shift in relations between Kyiv and Moscow since the end of Yet another failure to find common ground on the implementation of Minsk agreements has opened a new opportunity for those who want a military solution to the conflict, as well as those who would rather restart the diplomatic process under new conditions. By April 13, when the escalation reached dangerous levels of publicly expressed hostility between Moscow and Kyiv, the relations of the two governments had radically changed.

Woodrow Wilson Declaration Of War Speech Analysis

Kremlin demonstrated its unwillingness to continue political dialogue with the Ukrainian leadership. In Ukraine, political forces with pro-Russian orientations were sanctioned and their influence was limited. Officials http://pinsoftek.com/wp-content/custom/stamps/dark-of-the-moon-analysis.php Kyiv have returned to the policy of linking the Donbas issue with the Wsr one, and are preparing for an international diplomatic congress on Crimea.

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Now, if and when new article source on regional issues start, any Ukraine-Russia dialogue will be taking place in a new setup. The second dimension behind the current escalation is connected with the worsening relations among Russia, the United States, and the European Union. Following the U. However, taking into account the U. Also, Russia Woodrow Wilson Declaration Of War Speech Analysis opt to use the issue of water for Crimea as some sort of casus belli for an invasion Declaragion southern Ukraine.

However, any longer-term solutions will depend on the results of the meeting between the U. This support would need to aim at deescalation, countering aggression, and nonproliferation of the military actions into other Ukrainian territories. Image Credit The Wilson Center The conflict in eastern Ukraine, never properly frozen, could have become a full-scale regional war in March-April —and yet it did not.

Woodrow Wilson Declaration Of War Speech Analysis

A future summit meeting may give peace a chance if the conflict resolution is put into a broader context of U. Without normalization of relations between the two countries, the prospects for peace in Ukraine are dim. Moscow conceptualizes and narrates the conflict not as a Russian-Ukrainian issue, but as a clash between Russia and the West on the territory of the Russian world.]

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