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A Correction to this article was published on 28 August This article has been updated Abstract Analyses of racial disparities in police use-of-force against unarmed individuals are central to public policy interventions; however, recent studies have come to apparently paradoxical findings concerning the existence and form of such disparities.

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Although anti-black racial disparities in U. Encounter- and use-of-force-conditional results, however, can be Nigbt if the rates with which police encounter and use non-lethal force vary across officers and depend on suspect race. If even a small subset of police click the following article frequently encounter and use non-lethal force against black individuals than white individuals, then analyses of pooled encounter-conditional data can fail to correctly detect racial disparities in the use of lethal force.

In more technical terms, statistical assessments of racial disparities conditioned on problematic intermediate variables, such as encounters, which might themselves be a causal outcome of racial bias, can produce misleading inferences. Population-level measures of use-of-force by police are more robust indicators of the overall severity of racial disparities than encounter-conditional measures—since the later neglect the differential morbidity and mortality arising from differential encounter rates.

As such, population-level measures should be used when evaluating the local-level public health implications of racial disparities in police use-of-force. Research on encounter-conditional Social Order Paradox In Twelfth Night by police can also fruitfully contribute to public policy discussions, since population-level measures alone cannot address whether racial disparities are driven by disparities in encounters or disparities in use-of-force Scial on encounters.

Download PDF Socail Two recent publications on anti-black, racial disparities in police shootings in the United States—Ross and Fryer —have received media attention e. Ross shows that at the population-level individuals are about 3. Fryerhowever, finds that conditional on being encountered by police, black civilians relative to Social Order Paradox In Twelfth Night civilians are less likely to be shot by police. Such apparently conflicting results have generated confusion in the public presentation of these two studies.

The key difference between them, however, is that Ross looks at population-level relative risk, whereas Fryer looks at relative risk conditional on encounters or use-of-force. These studies thus tell us different things; failure to detect racial disparities in police shootings conditional on encounters does not imply absence of racial disparities in police shootings at the population level.

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Even in light of the well-acknowledged shortcomings in the data used in each of these studies, each exposes complementary elements of a coherent picture of the dynamics of police use-of-force. In order to gain a more fine-grained understanding of why the encounter-conditional results of Fryer seem to run so continue reading to what might be expected given the population-level findings of Rosswe derive a generative model of police use-of-force outcomes, and then analyze the conditions under which this model can generate data consistent with both analyses.

We use both analytic and simulation methods to draw attention to some counter-intuitive properties of this model.]

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