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Advanced Search Abstract Military operations lie at the center of international relations theory and practice. Although security studies scholars have used campaign analysis to study military operations for decades, the method has not been formally defined or standardized, and there is little methodological guidance available for scholars interested in conducting or evaluating it.
Campaign analysis is a method involving the use of a model and techniques for managing uncertainty to Rachel Richardson Analysis questions about military operations. The method comprises six steps: 1 question selection, 2 scenario development, 3 model construction, 4 value assignment, 5 sensitivity analysis, and 6 interpretation and presentation of results.
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The models that scholars develop to direct analysis are significant intellectual contributions in their own right, and can be adapted by other scholars and practitioners to guide additional analyses. Careful model construction can clarify, but does not obviate, the uncertainty of conflict.
Replications and extensions Rachel Richardson Analysis Wu Riqiang's analysis of Chinese nuclear survivability and Barry Posen's analysis of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization's prospects against the Warsaw Pact illustrate the six steps of campaign analysis, the value of transparent models and the input distribution approach, and the potential of campaign analysis to contribute to policy and theory.
Their answers shape doctrine, guide procurement, inform force posture, and influence decisions to go to war.
These questions are also difficult to tackle given the complexities and uncertainties of combat, and most efforts occur within governments, think tanks, and government-funded research centers. Scholars, however, have a role to play. The method involves six steps: 1 formulating a question, 2 specifying a scenario, 3 constructing a model that represents the military operation, 4 setting values for those variables using qualitative Rachel Richardson Analysis and technical military information, 5 running the model with sensitivity analysis, and 6 interpreting the output of the model and presenting the conclusions of the analysis.
A variety of research techniques used Rxchel security studies scholars have recently been formalized as methods, with guidance on when and how to employ them. Archival research, long a cornerstone of international security research, has received careful attention as a method of inference. Although scholars have used the method for decades, campaign analysis remains underspecified in the academy, and techniques for conducting it are an oral tradition among a small number of scholars.
This article defines, standardizes, and Rachel Richardson Analysis guidance on how to employ the method of campaign analysis.]
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